NFL Wins Pool Update
Last updated December 13, 2022
Standings
| Rank | Team | Wins | Remaining Games | Win % | Win % Rank | Projected Wins (FPI) | Projected Rank (FPI) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nick Boucher | 26 | 12 | 66.7% | 1 | 33.5 | 1 |
| 2 | Andrew Batchelor | 24 | 12 | 61.5% | 2 | 29.7 | 2 |
| 3 | Karl Loiseau | 21 | 12 | 53.8% | 3 | 28.0 | 3 |
| 3 | Andrew Moeller | 21 | 12 | 53.8% | 3 | 26.4 | 4 |
| 5 | Matt Hogel | 19 | 12 | 48.7% | 5 | 24.9 | 6 |
| 5 | Mike Thorne | 19 | 12 | 48.7% | 5 | 25.4 | 5 |
| 7 | Steve Creaser | 18 | 12 | 46.2% | 7 | 24.4 | 7 |
| 7 | Gavin Gray | 18 | 12 | 46.2% | 7 | 23.8 | 8 |
| 9 | Dan Ellenberger | 14 | 12 | 35.9% | 9 | 18.7 | 10 |
| 9 | Luke Phelan | 14 | 12 | 35.9% | 9 | 19.5 | 9 |
- Projected wins taken from ESPN FPI projections.
Expanded Standings
| Team | Wins |
Projected Wins |
Next Opponent |
Win Probability in Next Game |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Boucher | ||||
| Philadelphia Eagles | 12 | 14.9 | CHI | 0.77 |
| Baltimore Ravens | 9 | 11.6 | CLE | 0.39 |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | 5 | 7.0 | DAL | 0.30 |
| Andrew Batchelor | ||||
| Buffalo Bills | 10 | 12.7 | MIA | 0.75 |
| New England Patriots | 7 | 8.6 | LV | 0.46 |
| New York Giants | 7 | 8.4 | WAS | 0.34 |
| Andrew Moeller | ||||
| Minnesota Vikings | 10 | 12.4 | IND | 0.66 |
| Washington Commanders | 7 | 8.7 | NYG | 0.66 |
| Arizona Cardinals | 4 | 5.3 | DEN | 0.41 |
| Karl Loiseau | ||||
| San Francisco 49ers | 9 | 11.3 | SEA | 0.62 |
| Los Angeles Chargers | 7 | 9.7 | TEN | 0.61 |
| Cleveland Browns | 5 | 7.0 | BAL | 0.61 |
| Matt Hogel | ||||
| Tennessee Titans | 7 | 8.8 | LAC | 0.39 |
| Detroit Lions | 6 | 7.9 | NYJ | 0.46 |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 6 | 8.2 | CIN | 0.38 |
| Mike Thorne | ||||
| Dallas Cowboys | 10 | 12.9 | JAX | 0.70 |
| Carolina Panthers | 5 | 6.9 | PIT | 0.59 |
| Indianapolis Colts | 4 | 5.6 | MIN | 0.34 |
| Gavin Gray | ||||
| Cincinnati Bengals | 9 | 11.4 | TB | 0.62 |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | 5 | 6.6 | CAR | 0.41 |
| New Orleans Saints | 4 | 5.8 | ATL | 0.64 |
| Steve Creaser | ||||
| Kansas City Chiefs | 10 | 13.2 | HOU | 0.88 |
| Las Vegas Raiders | 5 | 7.1 | NE | 0.54 |
| Chicago Bears | 3 | 4.1 | PHI | 0.23 |
| Dan Ellenberger | ||||
| New York Jets | 7 | 8.8 | DET | 0.54 |
| Los Angeles Rams | 4 | 5.3 | GB | 0.25 |
| Denver Broncos | 3 | 4.6 | ARI | 0.59 |
| Luke Phelan | ||||
| Miami Dolphins | 8 | 9.9 | BUF | 0.25 |
| Green Bay Packers | 5 | 7.4 | LA | 0.75 |
| Houston Texans | 1 | 2.2 | KC | 0.12 |
- Win probability calculated from covers.com odds
Weekly Head-to-Heads
Leverage measured by:
* Circles to the top right are games between people closest to first
place
* Bigger circles indicate games that are more likely to be closely
contested
Draft Analysis
| Team | Wins |
Draft Spot |
Expected Wins |
Performance vs. Expectation |
Better Choices |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Boucher | |||||
| Baltimore Ravens | 9 | 7 | 9 | 0 | 2 |
| Philadelphia Eagles | 12 | 11 | 7 | 5 | 0 |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | 5 | 28 | 4 | 1 | 2 |
| Andrew Batchelor | |||||
| Buffalo Bills | 10 | 1 | 12 | -2 | 1 |
| New England Patriots | 7 | 20 | 5 | 2 | 0 |
| New York Giants | 7 | 27 | 4 | 3 | 0 |
| Karl Loiseau | |||||
| Los Angeles Chargers | 7 | 8 | 9 | -2 | 4 |
| San Francisco 49ers | 9 | 17 | 6 | 3 | 0 |
| Cleveland Browns | 5 | 21 | 5 | 0 | 5 |
| Andrew Moeller | |||||
| Arizona Cardinals | 4 | 10 | 7 | -3 | 15 |
| Minnesota Vikings | 10 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 0 |
| Washington Commanders | 7 | 24 | 5 | 2 | 0 |
| Matt Hogel | |||||
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 6 | 4 | 10 | -4 | 13 |
| Tennessee Titans | 7 | 18 | 6 | 1 | 0 |
| Detroit Lions | 6 | 25 | 5 | 1 | 3 |
| Mike Thorne | |||||
| Dallas Cowboys | 10 | 9 | 8 | 2 | 1 |
| Indianapolis Colts | 4 | 14 | 7 | -3 | 14 |
| Carolina Panthers | 5 | 23 | 5 | 0 | 5 |
| Steve Creaser | |||||
| Kansas City Chiefs | 10 | 2 | 10 | 0 | 1 |
| Las Vegas Raiders | 5 | 16 | 7 | -2 | 8 |
| Chicago Bears | 3 | 29 | 4 | -1 | 3 |
| Gavin Gray | |||||
| Cincinnati Bengals | 9 | 6 | 9 | 0 | 3 |
| New Orleans Saints | 4 | 19 | 5 | -1 | 10 |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | 5 | 22 | 5 | 0 | 5 |
| Dan Ellenberger | |||||
| Los Angeles Rams | 4 | 3 | 10 | -6 | 22 |
| Denver Broncos | 3 | 13 | 7 | -4 | 16 |
| New York Jets | 7 | 30 | 3 | 4 | 0 |
| Luke Phelan | |||||
| Green Bay Packers | 5 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 14 |
| Miami Dolphins | 8 | 15 | 7 | 1 | 1 |
| Houston Texans | 1 | 26 | 4 | -3 | 6 |
Draft Results
